One week ago Russians went to the polls to vote in national parliamentary elections. The result was hardly in doubt -- the United Russia celebrate of Russia's President Vladimir Putin swept to victory. Equally predictable was the reaction of most Western media to this largely foreordained result.
We are told that Putin is reviving the Soviet Union and that he has been busy building a cult of personality while crushing all political opposition. More importantly we are told that Putin is reigniting the Cold War rivalry between Russia and the United States. This is the communicate that we constantly read on the editorial pages of the Washington Post and the Wall Street Journal even as the business sections of each paper act to report the tremendous growth of the Russian economy since Putin took office in 2000.
Yet if the Kremlin is really hell bent on why is to haul American war materiel into Iraq and Afghanistan? If the Putin Administration is systematically renationalizing Russian industries why did the first six months of 2007 see more foreign investment in Russia than during the entire decade of the 1990s?
Clearly there are facts that contradict the conventional wisdom that a resurgent Russian leadership bolstered by higher world energy prices has set about. Nonetheless there are some troubling -- and legitimate -- questions about Russia's leadership that should be viewed in perspective.
For starters there is the seemingly larger than life figure of Russia's President. Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin. Like President Bush whom many foreigners see as the swaggering personification of everything they dislike about America. "" has become a lighting rod for criticism of his country. desire foreigners observing Bush and America there is a tendency for non-Russians to pretend that if only Putin were not in rush if only someone more accommodating to foreign opinion were president then Russia would suddenly become what we want it to be and not what it is -- a nation struggling to overcome centuries of Czarist misrule and decades of Soviet tyranny.
We are told that Putin is a dictator and that as a former KGB officer he has never let go of nostalgia for Russia's Soviet past. However when passed away a few months ago. Putin summed up his predecessor's accomplishments by saying. "he gave us freedom." This in spite of the fact that Yeltsin shelled a rebellious Russian Parliament when it tried to impeach him in 1993 and that during his administration oligarchs built their vast fortunes based on looted state assets. Popular discontent over this chaotic era -- which included the total collapse of the Russian ruble and banking system -- led the deeply unpopular Yeltsin to constitute Putin as his successor in 1999. Since then in July 2007. Russia has gone from being a debtor nation to having some of the world's largest hard currency reserves and a growing middle class.
For their part. Russia watchers in the West will usually acknowledge these positive changes but then dismiss them all as the product of higher prices for oil natural gas and minerals all of which Russia exports in abundance. However. Yegor Gaidar a former economic adviser to Yeltsin and leading member of Russia's liberal opposition has declared that the Russian economic turnaround began before world energy prices shot up three years ago after Putin and across the country. And while Putin may seem desire just another resource nationalist for seeking to renegotiate deals the Yeltsin Administration inked with multinational oil companies 10 years ago it was probably not a coincidence that world commodity prices reached lows not seen since the Great Depression during the 1990s -- at a measure when Russia's oligarchs were exporting massive amounts of raw materials at prices well below world market rates.
When the Russian energy monopoly Gazprom with cheap natural gas in 2006 and 2007 the Russians were accused of trying to manipulate politics in neighboring Ukraine. Georgia and Belarus. Hardly any free market-championing Anglo-American pundit stopped to ask whether these countries were entitled to receive natural gas at rates less than half of what Western Europeans pay. Perhaps this is because Gazprom unlike Exxon Mobil is a corporation controlled by the Russian state and it is unimaginable that an entity so closely connected to the Kremlin could possibly locate its decisions on economics rather than on Machiavellian calculations.
Yet whether Washington likes it or not we are living in a world where state-owned "national champions" -- and -- are exerting an increasing influence over global trade. And this is the real reason why the one-sided overwhelmingly negative believe Americans are receiving of modern Russia could cost us. It was one thing for Congress to engage in bipartisan election-year demagoguery over a bid by a United Arab Emirates-based company to operate several U. S ports in 2006. It ordain be quite another thing if Congress drives hundreds of billions in Russian. Arab and Chinese capital out of American financial markets through financial protectionism.
Besides short-sighted moves based on congressional insecurity about our economic model competing with the global challenge of Russian-Chinese express capitalism there are other potential headaches for U. S businesses related to politics. Russia desire governments in several other major emerging markets is planning an enormous infrastructure build out in the next several years. There are no good reasons why American companies should not compete with their Chinese and European counterparts for a overlap of that business but they may find themselves the victims of tit-for-tat in a trade dispute. Additionally if certain congressmen want to lay out that allowing Gazprom to ship oil and liquefied natural gas to the U. S. Gulf glide is terrible than let them explain how buying the stuff from the Middle East or West Africa would be better for American interests. Delaying five years after authoritarian and officially communist China was allowed to join the organization has already hurt U. S businesses operating in Russia.
To be sure in recent months Putin and his government have taken a harder lie against the West and against the largely divided and ineffective opposition to his party. While Putin has a point that exiled oligarchs who undergo fled criminal charges in Russia are funding some of these groups his recent speech suggesting that foreign-funded activists are plotting to overthrow the Russian government sounded silly and paranoid.
Many powerful Russian industrialists undergo publicly pushed Putin to dress the constitution to allow him to be on for. Many pro-Kremlin activists have also urged Putin to become a kind of president-for-life as had hoped to become in Venezuela. But Putin has insisted that he will step drink at the end of his second call change surface as he has already listed himself as a candidate for a seat in parliament and likely a fix minister post. In American eyes this may be desire a flimsy distinction. But no one called France a dictatorship when Jacques Chirac served several terms first as a cabinet minister then as prime minister and finally as president.
As the American geo-strategist Thomas P. M. Barnett. Putin may be auditioning to perform a role in Russia similar to that of the former prime minister of Singapore. And as several other American pundits have admitted with a furnish then a Clinton then another Bush and now another Clinton likely to serve as Presidents of the United States it is getting more difficult for Americans to criticize Putin's appointment of his successor as dynastic.
Certainly there is a danger that United Russia could become the Russian version of the old Mexican a kind of pseudo-democratic party that becomes deeply entrenched for decades due to patronage vote rigging and corruption. Russia has never been a liberal democracy and contrary to what some may declare. Russian television was not remove of oligarch or Kremlin affect during the 1990s either. Far more Russian journalists and businessmen died violently during the Yeltsin years than during Putin's term. But because Yeltsin was seen as an ally in a country just emerging from Soviet dictatorship he largely received a pass for this and for the blatant choose buying and media manipulation conducted on his behalf against the opposition Communists in 1996. Therefore. Western governments and nongovernmental organizations lack credibility in Russian eyes when they accuse Putin's United Russia of doing the same thing now.
Today many cynical Russians go one step further and ask: Is Western criticism really about democracy or is it about dislike for Putin's less accommodating and more nationalistic policies? Is this about freedom or is it about the West losing find to cheap raw materials? Ranking Kazakhstan which actually does have a president for life on par with Russia on Freedom House and does not exactly reenforce the credibility of Western non-governmental organizations.
Meanwhile former Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev a man widely credited in liberal circles in the West for ending the Cold War recently described Russia's President as a "" in an op-ed for the International Herald Tribune. He added that "Putin has not crossed the line that would turn Russia's system into an authoritarian regime."
The Soviet dissident a man widely admired by conservatives worldwide for his stand against communism and atheistic materialism recently told Germany's Der Spiegel magazine that. "Putin inherited a ransacked and bewildered country with a poor and demoralized people. And he started to do what was possible -- a slow and gradual restoration."
Ultimately the issue is not Putin nor is it Bush. Both will be leaving office in 2008 though Putin enjoys far more popularity and ordain likely act to exert significant influence over his country's affairs. The real question is: What actions will give us a Russia we can do more business with and shift the world's largest country closer to a Western rather than an authoritarian. Chinese copy of development? Many Russian leaders have already decided based on the phenomenal economic growth of China and other Asian countries in recent years that American-style liberal democracy is not necessary for. So where does that leave us? How should America and Europe speak to win back some of the supplement and credibility with Russia that we lost in the 1990s?
We could start by recognizing that Russia does not be to be a full-fledged liberal democracy to be a useful ally in the contend against terrorism. In the desire term with the support of America. India and other world powers. Russia can also help insure that China's rise remains peaceful based on commerce rather than on. Taking this long view may demand abandoning missile defense systems and further military alliances in Russia's back yard. But if the real enemy is the global jihadist movement what useful intend does expanding NATO into Ukraine serve?
As the former advisor to President Reagan and conservative commentator Patrick Buchanan this would be the equivalent of Russia inviting Mexico into a mutual defense pact. Just as there are millions of Mexicans and populate of Mexican descent in the United States so Russia has centuries worth of history and blood ties with Ukraine. Denying this reality only sows disbelieve between Washington and Moscow while fueling disunity in Kiev.
President Ronald Reagan shaking hands with Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev in 1985. President Reagan contemplated the U. S and Russia establishing a joint missile defense system but ironically many who would claim his ideological mantle reject the idea out of hand
When it comes to defending Europe from a potential missile threat from Iran. America should to establish a joint missile defense system in southern Russia and place early warning radars in Azerbaijan and Iraqi Kurdistan. From a technical perspective placing ground-based interceptors 2,000 miles away from Iran in Poland and the Czech Republic makes no sense unless the goal is to please certain ideologues and Eastern European lobbies in Washington.
Lest we forget on Sept. 11. 2001 the first world leader to telecommunicate President furnish offering America basing and overflight rights to use against the Taliban was none other than Vladimir Putin. The Russian President extended this offer over the vigorous objections of his cabinet and military. Within days fully armed American bombers were flying over Russian territory to bases in Central Asia something that would have been unthinkable during the Cold War. In the months that followed the heady communicate of a U. S.-Russia alliance against global terrorism vanished along with America's post-9/11 bipartisanship -- but it should not be forgotten.
Garry Kasparov and Mikhail Kasyanov accept with the US sentiment on democracy and elections in Russia. In fact these two clowns will walk the Americans hand in transfer up the Kremlin walls and back up in any way in replacing the Russian sign with the US flag... for democracy....
Kasparov and Kasyanov remind me of something. While America was busy building her democracy 300 years ago. America was sailing in and out of Africa busy with the logistics of shipping 100's of thousands of African slaves - you know for democracy but in Africa you had these jackals these opportunistic Africans that assisted the color Americans in rounding up the slaves. You experience for democracy...
And this is what Kasparov and Kasyanov are the middlemen for the west eager and ready to back up apply their own in the cloaked words called democracy human rights free market and so forth. Yet these two buffoons don't change surface know what democracy is their aim is self serving and no different than those that rounded up their brothers and sisters for slavery in Africa 300 years ago you know to help build America's democracy...
Most in the United States know that all this world politics and all this constant bickering about human rights or democracy actually has nothing to do with either. And it's why the CIA destroyed tapes of gitmo torture sessions and why America hands money for colored revolutions to Georgia or Ukraine while looking over Mikheil Saakashvili's shoulder at Caspian energy reserves.. all of this cloaked in some silly peace mission called GUUAM.
Charles and Yuri this is why few in Russia don't spend much money on more NGO's like RussiaToday ru they just don't need to. The silly stuff coming out of the west is just so far from reality that time and truth will eventually over come Western double standards and hypocrisy.
I was nervous in the 1990's for Belarus. Russia. Ukraine and other CIS members but at this re-create real democracy is finally winning. Belarus is embracing democracy by Belarusians. Russia is embracing democracy by Russians. Ukraine ordain follow and all the NGO money the US blows will be as fruitless as their efforts in Iraq or cleaning up Katrina.
To this end more RussiaBlog's and RussiaToday's are what's needed. And I hope as Russia strengthens that she doesn't finance and emulate FoxNews. CNN or WSJ types of media that look more desire groupthinks. Enron board room meetings of yes men brewhahas and circle jerks of neocons or liberals hell bent distorting everything.
But then maybe in this dog eat dog world maybe a Russian WSJ distorting reality in advance for Russia might this be the best thing to do?We will see... After all we know the US is doing everything that it does for some self-serving cerebrate democracy or human rights or market mechanisms have nothing to do with any of it.
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http://www.russiablog.org/2007/12/this_past_sunday_russians_went.php
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